https://frontelligence.substack.com/p/kursk-offensive-a-preliminary-assessment
Pár érdekesebb rész:
The analysis indicates that, overall, the operation fell short of achieving most of its stated objectives. The attrition rate was generally unfavorable for Ukraine, though certain aspects of the operation proved successful.
Ukrainian command ultimately made a miscalculation, allowing a successful raid to evolve into a battle of attrition with increasingly diminishing returns.
The early and prominent successes during the initial stages of the operation nurtured a misleading narrative that Russia was running out of reserves and combat-ready troops.
Ukrainian command persisted with counterattacks and attempts to break through Russian defenses, even when such actions offered at best a limited tactical advantage without leading to meaningful operational gains.
Notably, Ukraine lost 66 tanks compared to Russia’s 74. Our team considers these numbers particularly unfavorable for Ukraine, as Russia not only possesses a significantly larger tank fleet but also maintains the capacity to produce new ones.
In summary, the overall vehicle loss ratio stands at nearly 1:1, an unfavorable scenario for Ukraine in a war of attrition, given its smaller initial stockpile and limited ability to replace lost vehicles.
Pár érdekesebb rész:
The analysis indicates that, overall, the operation fell short of achieving most of its stated objectives. The attrition rate was generally unfavorable for Ukraine, though certain aspects of the operation proved successful.
Ukrainian command ultimately made a miscalculation, allowing a successful raid to evolve into a battle of attrition with increasingly diminishing returns.
The early and prominent successes during the initial stages of the operation nurtured a misleading narrative that Russia was running out of reserves and combat-ready troops.
Ukrainian command persisted with counterattacks and attempts to break through Russian defenses, even when such actions offered at best a limited tactical advantage without leading to meaningful operational gains.
Notably, Ukraine lost 66 tanks compared to Russia’s 74. Our team considers these numbers particularly unfavorable for Ukraine, as Russia not only possesses a significantly larger tank fleet but also maintains the capacity to produce new ones.
In summary, the overall vehicle loss ratio stands at nearly 1:1, an unfavorable scenario for Ukraine in a war of attrition, given its smaller initial stockpile and limited ability to replace lost vehicles.
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