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Urainian Strikes On Russian-Occupied Snake Island Confirmed In Satellite Imagery
Ukraine says a new operation is underway targeting Russian forces on Snake Island in the Black Sea.
by
Joseph TrevithickJun 21, 2022 3:33 PM
A satellite image
The War Zone has obtained from Planet labs shows evidence supporting the Ukrainian military's claims that they have recently carried out air and artillery strikes on Russian positions on
Snake Island in the western end of the Black Sea. Unconfirmed details about these strikes had first begun to emerge yesterday, along with news that Russian-occupied gas drilling rigs elsewhere in the region had been struck, as you can read more about in our initial reporting
here.
The Planet Labs satellite image, which was shot on June 21, 2022, shows at least three newly darkened areas on Snake Island, also known as Zmiinyi Island. These appear to be scorch marks reflecting recent explosions and/or fires. These visibly discolored spots were not seen in an earlier satellite image of the island from Planet Labs, which was taken just before noon local time on June 20.
A satellite image of Snake Island taken on June 21, 2022, showing evidence of new strikes. PHOTO © 2022 PLANET LABS INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. REPRINTED BY PERMISSION
A close up of a large scorch mark in the center of the island that is visible in the June 21 satellite image.
Two other scorched areas, seen on the right and left in this close up, are visible at the southern end of the island in the satellite image from June 21.
A satellite image of Snake Island taken on June 20, 2022, showing no evidence of the three scorched areas. PHOTO © 2022 PLANET LABS INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. REPRINTED BY PERMISSION
A comparison of separate images taken on June 19 and June 21 from a different commercial provider, Copernicus, provides further evidence that these scorch marks are new.
It's unclear what the specific targets of these strikes may have been. The scorched areas do align broadly with the locations of various Russian positions, including emplaced
air defense assets, on the island as seen in earlier satellite imagery.
The new large scorched area in the center of the island is also immediately to the east of a group of structures that were all but destroyed in airstrikes by Ukrainian fixed-wing combat jets
back in May. Those strikes coincided with an attack by Ukrainian TB2 drones that
sunk a Russian landing craft that was bringing in a
Tor-series surface-to-air missile system.
Since those strikes, Russian forces have actively attempted to
build up air defense capabilities on the island, including the deployment of more Tor-series surface-to-air missile systems. Just last week, the Ukrainian armed forces claimed to
have destroyed another Russian ship, the rescue vessel
Vasily Bekh, with
western-supplied Harpoon anti-ship missiles. The exact fate of
Vasily Bekh, which was reportedly heading to the island carrying yet another Tor, remains unconfirmed.
As for what weapon systems Ukrainian forces may have used to carry out these new strikes, it's not entirely clear. A Ukrainian intelligence source told
The War Zone that multiple
types of 155mm howitzers,
122mm BM-21 and 220mm BM-27 rocket artillery systems,
Su-24 Fencer swing-wing combat jets, and
Su-27 Flanker fighters had all taken part in recent operations targeting Snake Island, but this so far remains unconfirmed. It is worth pointing out that the very shortest distance between mainland Ukraine and the island is around 22 miles, which is beyond the range of even many extended-range 155mm shells and 122mm rockets. This can only raise questions about exactly how those weapons would have been employed in this instance, if they were at all.
Ukraine is also
set to receive M142 High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems (HIMARS) and precision-guided 227mm M30/M31 rockets from the United States. We don't know if any M142s are in action in Ukraine already, but they
would have the range necessary to strike targets on Snake Island, something
The War Zone has noted
would be a prime use of these systems.
The areas of mainland Ukraine highlighted inside the circle in the map shown here are areas where M142 HIMARS firing M30/M31 rockets could engage targets on Snake Island.
Google Earth
Ukraine says a new operation is underway targeting Russian forces on Snake Island in the Black Sea.
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